译者:老杨2010年10月04日 21:35浏览量:2619评论数:14 温:你可能认为这是今天最难回答的问题,但在我看来这很容易。我从两点回答你有关未来的问题。1.正如中国老话说的“长江后浪推前浪,一代新人换旧人”,对中国未来领导人超过他们的前任我深有信心。2.是人民以及人民的力量决定了国家的前途和历史。人民的希望和意愿不可阻挡,顺之者昌,逆之者亡。
相关链接:温总理接受CNN专访2008版(带字幕):http://is.gd/fIJ8X 2010版:http://is.gd/fJlcl2010版文本:http://is.gd/fJmST 。(感谢推友 @liubinyan @zhangjialong)
ZAKARIA: Yourstimulus package was 10 times larger, as a percentage of your GDP, than -- thanthe U.S. one. It was an extraordinaryprogram.
Is there a worry that it has -- it has produced a bubble in China,in real estate? Are there dangers of inflation because the government spent somuch money? And what happens now that that stimulus is going to wear off? Therewill be less and less government spending.
WEN: From what yousaid, I think you have not seen our stimulus package in its full or in itsentirety. I would like to say that ourstimulus package has four key components.
The first is massive public spending, structural tax cutsand infrastructural development.
The second is the adjustment and upgrading of industrial structurein China.
The third is scientific and technological innovation and thedevelopment of emerging industries with strategic significance.
The fourth is the improvement of social safety net. The $4 trillionRMB Yuan investment does not all come from the government.
 ublic finance only accounts for $1.18 trillion RMB Yuan andthe rest will come from the non-public sector and fundraising from financialmarkets.
The implementation of the stimulus package has insured the continuanceof steady and relatively fast economic growth in China.
It has helped maintain the good momentum of China's economicdevelopment in the past 30 years and it has helped us avoid major fluctuationsin the process of China's modernization because of a severe external shock.
At the same time, it has laid a solid foundation for future developmentof the Chinese economy. We are on highalert against the challenge that you referred to in your question.
Let me make three points. First, there is a possibility of inflationin China.
That is why we have formulated the task of skillfully managethe relations between maintaining steady and relatively fast economic development,structural adjustment and managing inflation expectations. This is at the core of China's macroeconomiccontrol.
I do have worry for the management of inflation expectationsin China. And that is something that Ihave been trying very hard to manage appropriately and well, because I believecorruption and inflation will have an adverse impact on stability of power inour country. And these two both concernthe trust and support of people in the government. And this is the perspective that I see theissue of inflation in China.
Second, with implementation of the stimulus package, thereare fiscal and financial risks at the level of local governments. We have some financing vehicles of localgovernments. They have some debts.
But this is not a new problem that took place after thebreak -- outbreak of the financial crisis. Rather, this already came into being back in the 1980s.
Now, with thefinancing platforms of local governments in place, they have accumulated atotal debt about $7.6 trillion RMB Yuan.
And I can say that this debt, at the local level, is still withina range that we can manage. But it is importantthat we appropriately handle this matter to ensure that the debts at local governments'level will not bring about risks in our public finance and in the financialsector.
The ratio of budget deficit in China's total GDP is within 3percent. The total debts in China versus GDP's ratio is within 20 percentrange.
That is to say, it's still in the range that we can manage.
The third point is a more important one, that is, all our investmentnow must be conducive to our economic structural adjustment, not thecontrary. This concerns our long-termdevelopment prospects and therefore is of high importance.
ZAKARIA: May I ask you what lesson you have drawn from the financialcrisis? Have you lost faith in American macroeconomic management?
A Chinese friend said to me, he said, "We were like thestudents in class and we would always listen to what the Americans would tellus." And now we look up, and wethink, "Maybe the teacher actually didn't know what he was talking about."
WEN: In the face of the financial crisis, any person who hasa sense of responsibility towards the country, and towards the entire humanrace should learn lessons from the financial crisis. As far as I'm concerned,the biggest lesson that I have drawn from the financial crisis is that, inmanaging the affairs of a country, it's important to pay close attention toaddressing the structural problems in the economy.
China has achieved enormous progress in its development, winningacclaim around the world. Yet, I was one of the first ones to argue that oureconomic development still lacks balance, coordination, and sustainability.This financial crisis has reinforced my view on this point. On the one hand, wemust tackle the financial crisis; on the other, we must continue to address ourown problems. And we must do these two tasks well at the same time, and this isa very difficult one.
China has a vast domestic market. And there is a great potentialin China's domestic demand. China is at a stage of accelerated urbanization andindustrialization. We can rely on stimulating domestic demand to stabilize andfurther grow the Chinese economy. This requires us that we must seize theopportunities, speed up our development, and stabilize the Chinese economy.
And on that basis, we must take a long term perspective to addressall these structural challenges in our economy. As far as the US economy isconcerned, I always believe that the U.S. economy is solidly based, not only ina material sense, but more importantly, the United States has the strength ofscientific and technological talent, and managerial expertise.
It has accumulated a wealth of experience in its economic developmentover the past...more than 200 years. In spite of the twists and turns, theUnited States, I believe, will tide over the crisis and difficulties, and wemust have confidence in the prospects of the U.S. economy.
The recovery and further growth of the largest economy in the world-that is, the U.S. economy-is in the interest of the recovery and stabilityof the world economy.
温:在金融危机面前,任何对国家,对全体人类有责任感的人都会从中学习。我学到最重要的一课是,在管理国家事务时,关注经济结构非常重要。中国在发展过程中取得了巨大的进步,赢得了世界的赞誉。然而,包括我在内的一些人,很早就表明我们的经济发展仍然缺少平衡性、协调性和可持续性。金融危机加强了我的这一观点。一方面,我们必须要防止金融危机的影响,另一方面,我们仍然要强调我们自己的问题。这两个方面的工作要同时做好是很难的。ZAKARIA: You -- youwrote an article about your old boss, Hu Yaobang, which I was very struckby. In it, you praised him. Do you think, in retrospect, that Hu Yaobangwas a very good leader of China?
WEN: Yes. I think I have given a fair assessment of thehistory of this person. He made his owncontributions to China's reform and opening up. I want to make the following three points.
First, he vigorously advanced the debate surrounding the criteriain judging what truth is. And throughthat, he has contributed to the effort of freeing people's minds.
Second, irrespective of various resistance, he took steps tofree a large number of officials and cadres who were wronged in the CulturalRevolution.
And, third, he himself took actions to advance China'sreform and opening up.
温:是的。我想我给他的历史做出了一个公允的评价。他为中国的改革开放做出了贡献。第一,他大力推动了有关真理标准的大讨论,通过这一讨论,他为中国解放思想工作做出了重要的贡献。第二,面对众多阻力,他毫不畏惧,为在文革中遭受迫害的广大党政干部平反冤假错案。第三,他采取行动,切实推进了中国的改革开放事业。ZAKARIA: You - youspeak, in your speeches, about how Chinais not yet a strong and creative nation in terms of its economy.
Can you be a strong and creative nation with so many restrictionson freedom of expression, with the Internet being censored? Don't you need to open all that up if youwant true creativity?
Z:在你的演讲中,你提到从经济上看,中国依然不是一个强大的创新型国家。有着如此多的言论自由限制以及互联网管制怎么可以成为一个强大的创新型国家呢?难道不应该取消这些限制吗?I don't think you know all about China on this point. In China, there are about 400 millionInternet users and 800 million mobile phone subscribers.
They can access the Internet to express their views,including critical views. I often logonto the Internet and I have read sharp critical comments on the work of thegovernment, on the Internet and also there are commendable words about the workof the government.
I often say that we should not only let people have the freedomof speech. We, more importantly, must create conditions to let them criticizethe work of the government. And it isonly when there is the supervision and critical oversight from the people that thegovernment will be in a position to do an even better job and employees ofgovernment departments will be the true public servants of the people.
All these must be conducted within the range allowed by the constitutionand the laws.
So that the country will have a normal order. And that is all the more necessary for such alarge country as China, with 1.3 billion people.
ZAKARIA:  remierWen -- since we are being honest, when Icome to China and I try to use the Internet, there are many sites that areblocked. It is difficult to getinformation. Any opinion that seems tochallenge the political primacy of the, of the party is not allowed.
HuYaobang, for example, was not somebody who could be mentioned in the - in"The China Daily" until your own article appeared. It just feels to me like all theserestrictions -- this -- the vast apparatus that monitors the Internet are --are going to make it difficult for your people to truly be creative and totruly do what it seems you wish them to do.
Z:温总理,说实话,我去中国的时候,发现很多我要上的网站都被屏蔽掉了,非常难以获得资讯,似乎任何挑战共产党政治地位的言论都是不允许的。比如胡耀邦,直到您写的文章出版,在《人民日报》上从未被提起。给我的感觉就是这些限制——对互联网监控的这些设备,让你的人民很难真正有创造性,去做那些你想让他们做的事。ZAKARIA: You havegiven a - a series of very interesting speeches in the last few weeks -- thelast few months. I was particularlystruck by one you gave in Shenzhen, where you said, "Along with economicreform, we must keep doing political reform." This is a point you made inour last interview. But a lot of peopleI know in China -- Chinese people say there has been economic reform over thelast six or seven years, but there has not been much political reform.
What do you say to people who listen to your speeches andthey say, "We love everything Wen Jiabao says, but we don't see theactions of political reform?"
WEN: Actually, thisis a viewpoint that was put forward by Mr. Deng Xiaoping a long time ago.
And I think anyone who has a sense of responsibility for hiscountry should have deep thinking about this topic and put what he believesinto action.
I have done some deeper thinking about this topic since we lastmet. My view is that a political party,after it becomes a ruling party, shouldbe somewhat different from the one when it was struggling for power.
The biggest difference should be that this political party shouldact in accordance with the constitution and the law.
The policies and propositions of a political party can be translatedinto parts of the constitution and the laws through appropriate legalprocedures. All political parties,organizations and all people should abide by the constitution and laws withoutany exception. They must all act inaccordance with the constitution and laws.
I see that as a defining feature of modern political systemdevelopment.
I have summed up my political ideals into the following foursentences.
To let everyone lead a happy life with dignity. To let everyone feel safe and secure. To let the society be one with equity andjustice and to let everyone have confidence in the future.
In spite of the various discussions and views in the societyand in spite of some resistance, I will act in accordance with these idealsunswervingly and advance, within the realm of my capabilities, politicalrestructuring.
I would like to tell you the following two sentences to reinforcemy case on this or my view on this point, that is, I will not fall in spite ofa strong wind and harsh rain and I will not yield till the last day of my life.
WEN JIABAO, PREMIER OF CHINA: Allow me to make a comment on whatyou just said. I think your view still represents the view of the UnitedStates. Or, to be more specific, the view of a small number of members ofCongress of the United States.
The Chinese economy and the US economy are closelyinterconnected.
Our bilateral trade has already reached 300 billion U.S. dollars.US investment in China has exceeded 60 billion US dollars. China has purchasedUS T-Bonds worth about 900 billion US dollars.
No one will believe that the Chinese leadership does not followclosely the development of the US economy. Yet, some people in the UnitedStates, in particular some in the US Congress, do not know fully about China.They are politicizing the problems in China-US relations-in particular, thetrade imbalance between our two countries.
I don't think this is the right thing to do.
I highly appreciate you giving me this opportunity of the interview,because you gave me the opportunity to further explain what the real situationis. There are three points which are not widely known with regard to exchangerate of RMB and China's trade surplus.
First, China does not pursue a trade surplus.
Our objective in having foreign trade is to have balance andsustainable trade with other countries, and we want to have a basic equilibriumin our balance of payments. This is what we have been saying and doing.
In 2008, China's surplus and current accounts ratio in GDP stoodat 9.9 percent. On 2009, that figure dropped to 5.8 percent. And in the firsthalf of 2010, that figure further declined to 2.2 percent.
Second, the increase of a trade surplus of a country is not necessarilylinked with the exchange policy of that country. We started the reform of RMB exchange rateregime back in the 1994. And since then,the Chinese currency has appreciated by 55 percent against the U.S. dollar.
And over the same time frame, the currencies of major economiesand currencies of China's neighboring countries have all depreciated by a largemargin.
China's trade has been growing fast over the same timeframe. Actually, there is a period like that in the history of the United States,too. In the almost 100 years between the1870s and 1970s, the United States was a surplus country.
And this is actually what would happen for a country in a certainstage of development.
The third point, which is a more important one and one that youare aware of, that is, the trade imbalance between our two countries is mainlystructural in nature. China runs a tradesurplus in processing trade but a deficit in general trade. China has a trade surplus in trade in goods,but a deficit in trade in services -- in services.
We have a trade surplus with the United States and the EuropeanUnion, but a deficit with Japan, the ROK and ASEAN countries. Many of theChinese exports to the United States are no longer produced in the U.S. and Idon't believe that the United States will restart the production of thoseproducts -- products which are at the low end of the value added chain. Even if you don't buy those products fromChina, you still have to buy them from India, Sri Lanka or Bangladesh. And that will not help resolve the tradeimbalance between our two countries.
I remember that you gave the example of iPod player in the UnitedStates. An iPod player is sold at $299 in the States. But the Chinese producer only gets $4 inprocessing fee.
WEN: Well the books that are always on my shelves are books abouthistory because I believe history is like a mirror and I like to read bothChinese history and history of foreign countries.
There are two books that I often travel with. One is the Theoryon Moral Sentiments by Adam Smith. Theother is The Meditations.
ZAKARIA: Let me askyou, as our final question, Premier Wen. This has struck me as a -- as anexample of your frankness. You have spokenof your determination to continue political reform despite obstructions within thecountry and within the party - despite opposition within the party. You've spoken of your fear that corruptionand inflation will erode social stability. You've praised Hu Yaobang and talked about the wise leadership heprovided, even though he was regarded by many as a -- as a dangerously liberal leader.
First, I would like to say that, as the Chinese saying goes,as the Yangtze River forges ahead waves upon waves, the new generation willinvariably surpass the old. I haveconfidence that future Chinese leadership will excel the previous one.
Second, it is the people and the strength of the people who determinethe future of the country and history. The wish and will of the people are not stoppable. Those who go along with the trend will thriveand those who go against the trend will fail.
欢迎光临 ::电驴基地:: (https://cmule.com/) | Powered by Discuz! 6.0.0 |